Prop Bets are often very tricky to predict. Especially because The Finals hold so much weight, players usually do not play as they have been all season.
NBA Finals Game 4 Prop Bets
Either they rise to the occasion or fold under pressure. Below are my top 3 prop bets heading into Game 4:
Khris Middleton – Assists: Over 5.5 (+110)
Middleton is a player who is often thought of as a shooter. What gets lost however is his ability to pass the basketball as well. In fact, Khris has gotten a total of 14 assists in the past two games against these Suns.
Looking back at the past eight playoff games, he has dished out at least six assists in six of the contests, something he does not get credit for. Most of his assists totals come from the three-point line-off penetration. Because of his ability to shoot from the outside, players have to play him tight and thus he has more room to penetrate inside the lane.
Something also to keep in mind is that Game 4 is in Milwaukee. As simple as it sounds, Middleton always plays better on his home floor. As with the case with most nonsuperstars, they rely on the crowd’s energy to pick up their game.
I suspect Middelton to at least six or more assists tonight, making it a pretty surefire bet.
Deandre Ayton is a huge Diana Taurasi fan!
— NBA (@NBA) July 14, 2021
Deandre Ayton – Points & Rebounds: Over 29.5 (-102)
Deandre Ayton is a guy that has been consistently great for the Suns all postseason. With the exception of Game 3, he has played huge minutes at center for Phoenix.
Even in Game 3, Ayton put up 18 points and nine rebounds in 24 minutes which totals 27 (only 3 away from the combined mark).
Chris Paul’s mastery of the pick and roll game has given Ayton tons of easy opportunities to score in the paint. Once Deandre gets a few to go in the lane, it opens up his entire game. He can post up, shoot from the midrange, and even drive to the basket.
I see Deandre dominating the boards tonight with double-digit rebounds and putting in 20-25 points, making the mark of 29.5 relatively easy to reach.
Giannis Antetokounmpo – Points: Under 34.5 (-110)
While it may seem puzzling to take the under here, 35 points is a number that I think is a tad too high for tonight. Yes, he has scored over 40 points in back-to-back games but keep in mind he has shot over 35 free throws combined in those contests. I do not see him shooting as many attempts tonight. Also, Giannis has only scored 35 points or more, in three games the entire postseason.
I see the Suns really gearing up on Giannis and making the others beat them tonight. His inability to shoot consistently from the outside will hinder him. Although Ayton is not on his caliber, he is a capable defender and I would not be surprised if Phoenix sends two guys at him to force him to get rid of the ball.