Super Bowl Props — Patriots-Seahawks: Who Will be “Punished” More? 

Super Bowl Props — Patriots-Seahawks: Who Will be “Punished” More? 

America’s Bookie customers hear it all the time from the talking heads – “Teams can’t afford to beat themselves with penalties.” Yet there is an interesting thing going on when you look at the two Super Bowl teams. The fact is, you would not be able to tell whether that old adage had any substance at all when you examine the two squads.
The Super Bowl is scheduled for 6:25 PM ET on Sunday at the University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, AZ.
As practically everyone is conditioned to know by now, you can bet on just about anything in the “Big Game,” and that includes the category of penalties. people don’t consider this a lot, but usually if you analyze some of it, there may be some insight as to who to bet on in the game itself, which is, at the moment, is currently at pick’em.
Let’s look at one of the Super Bowl prop that concerns penalties, as it is listed in the NFL betting odds currently posted at America’s Bookie:
Team With the Most Penalty Yards
(Declined Penalties Do Not Count)
 
Seattle Seahawks  -155
New England Patriots  +125
Here are the facts: by at least one measurement, Seattle is the most penalized team in the NFL, while New England is the sixth most penalized. Of course, when you talk about penalties it comes with nuance, because there are some penalties that are accepted and some that are not. And as you can see in this Super Bowl prop, the penalties that are declined do not count.
Since it’s only by chance that an opponent would accept or decline a penalty, it is worth noting that each of these teams were flagged 142 times, which has them in a flat-footed tie at seventh in the NFL. But opponents accepted 130 of these penalties against Seattle, which put them at the top of the league (or the bottom, depending on how you want to look at it), while New England had 120 penalties that the opponent accepted.
Here’s what is odd about all of this, and Super Bowl prop bettors may want to take note: these teams apparently haven’t gotten much of a break from the officials on the other end either. The Seahawks’ opponents have been called for just 4.4 penalties a game, which is the lowest number in the league. And New England is next on the list, at 5.7. Why do the officials assess so few infractions against Seattle’s foes? Who knows. But they have only benefited to the tune of 613 yards from this, which is WAY below the league average. New England is actually next on that list (752).
Since this America’s Bookie prop involves not the number of penalties themselves, but the yardage that comes from those penalties, it is important to note that the Patriots lost more yardage than Seattle in this category (1080-1009). That is because, in a rather strange state of affairs, the Seahawks suffered an average of 7.7 yards per penalty, which was the second-lowest figure in the league, while New England was fifth highest at 8.9 yards.
A big culprit for the Pats was their special teams, which were responsible for 20.8% of all the penalty yardage called. By comparison, Seattle sustained only 12.7% of their penalty yards from the special units.
New England has the player who may be the most susceptible to being penalized, and he is s former member of the Seahawks. Defensive back Brandon Browner has played in eleven games this season, and he has been flagged seventeen times.
In some ways the raw data can be deceiving. These teams have both behaved “badly.”  The Pats have obviously been penalized enough that we feel comfortable grabbing the price of +125 with them in this Super Bowl prop at America’s Bookie.
Post written by  Charles Jay 
First Four for Inaugural NCAA Postseason

First Four for Inaugural NCAA Postseason

The smoke has settled and the results are in. The field is set for the first ever four-team NCAA bracketed postseason. Whether you’re a sports bettor with years of wagering experience or a new face anxious to jump into the action, betting on college football this season will be unlike anything NCAA fans have seen.

With the first round of the playoffs scheduled on New Year’s Day, the NCAA football betting community will have plenty of time to stew over the committee’s selections.The Alabama Crimson Tide is favored to win the championship followed by Oregon, Florida State and Ohio State. The Tide is also the 10-point favorite in the Ohio State Buckeyes match that will take place at the Sugar Bowl. A Sugar Bowl victory would pit them against whichever team wins the Rose Bowl.

The Oregon Ducks are the 9.5-point favorites to beat Oregon at the Rose Bowl. While the Ducks are heavily favored in their semifinal, they are only 17/10 to win the College Football Championship; Alabama is 1/1 to win the title.

With under a month before kickoff, anything can change. Stay abreast of NCAA news and adjust your wagering style accordingly.

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Revived Leafs Visit Red-Hot Wings

Revived Leafs Visit Red-Hot Wings

The Toronto Maple Leafs have been rebuilding for a decade. Have they finally figured things out? They’ve started the 2014-2015 campaign at 14-9-2-1, racking up 10.36 units against the moneyline and a 17-9 record against the puck line. We’ll see what the Leafs are made of on Wednesday Night Rivalry (8:00 PM ET, NBCSN) when the Detroit Red Wings welcome them to The Joe.

The Red Wings (17-6-2-3, plus-5.04 units) have the better record as we enter the second trimester of the regular season. They’ve won seven of their past eight games. Toronto is 5-2 in its last seven, which includes a 4-1 victory over the Wings as a slim –102 home favourite. Detroit won their previous two meetings this year. All three games went under the posted total of 5.5 goals.

Toronto looks like a paper tiger when it comes to puck possession. The Corsi and Fenwick stats are heavily in Detroit’s favor; the Leafs have made up for it by scoring 3.42 goals per game, second in the league as we go to press. However, the Wings are fourth at 3.11 goals per game.

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An Early Preview of the CFB Bowl Game Lines That Jump Out

An Early Preview of the CFB Bowl Game Lines That Jump Out

With the full college football game slate officially released, and the CFB Playoff’s locked in, this means that it’s time to give those gut reaction opinions on some of the games that jump off the board. You know, the games that the line simply looks wrong, or that there’s info that may not be taken into account just yet. Let’s hit on just a few of the games that cross the “eye test” and jump off the page. Before we get to the action, understand that we get our odds and make our bets at AmericasBookie.com — if you don’t have an account there — get one!

Time to get right into the action.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Boston College Eagles (-2.5)

This game just jumps off the page at me for some reason. I think the Nittany Lions are going to be excited to get back into the bowl game action here. With that said though, the Eagles are massively underrated, and I think they have a combo in Tyler Murphy and Jon Hilliman that can really strike fast through the ground game. Murphy is one of the best duel-threat quarterbacks in college football, and it’ll show in the Pinstripe Bowl here on December 27th. The Eagles should be getting more love than this in my opinion.

Clemson Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners (-3)

I’ll start out by saying this. If the Clemson Tigers end up playing Deshaun Watson, with a torn ACL and all, they can win this game. With that said though, it’s unlikely that he ends up playing, even though he played the entire game against South Carolina with the torn ACL, and looked amazing. Now, what’s key to watch here, is that if Watson doesn’t play, I think you should be all over the Sooners. Cole Stoudt just doesn’t have the offensive firepower to keep up with Oklahoma, and while the defense is incredibly good, I see Oklahoma getting the job done.

Ole Miss Rebels vs. TCU Horned Frogs (-3)

There’s two ways to look at this game. Either the Horned Frogs come in disappointed that they were left out of the Playoff and lay an egg, or they come in looking to make a statement. Simply put, I don’t think this Horned Frogs’ team is the type of team to come in and lay an egg. I think TCU shows up with a massive game, and rolls to a double-digit victory in the Chick Fil-A Bowl. Trevone Boykin is simply too talented and will look to make a serious statement.

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (-10.5)

There’s plenty of reasons to be all aboard the Alabama train. With that said, I’m going to look at the other side of it. This Ohio State team is hungry, and they are looking to show that they truly belong. While I think Bama should walk away with the win, I do think that the Buckeyes are going to put up a serious fight. Urban Meyer is too strong of a coach to let his team get walked on, and this Buckeyes’ team as a whole is too talented. I like the points here, especially since we’ll looking at double-digits.

Make your bets this college bowl season at AmericasBookie.com!

Eagles Test Worth Against Seahawks

Eagles Test Worth Against Seahawks

Though we’re already into December, the season is about to begin for the Philadelphia Eagles. Chip Kelly’s squad has thrived through the first few months of 2014, but a pair of essential matchups could be the key to them beating their NFL odds. It all starts this Sunday against the AFC West force Seattle Seahawks.

Bet on football at Bovada and get a free 50% bonus.

The Eagles are first in the AFC East. To stay there, they’ll have to keep the Dallas Cowboys at bay. In order to do that they’ll need to show up at home against Russell Wilson and the Seahawks.With 12/1 odds of winning the Super Bowl (compared to Seattle’s 13/2 odds), the Eagles have their work cut out for them. Philadelphia is favored by -1 point for Sunday’s match, which is scheduled for 4:25 PM ET.

Mark Sanchez has looked excellent under center in the past four games, winning three of them. He could be the talk of the league after a big performance against the vaunted Seattle defense.

The Seahawks have held each of their last two opponents to a glaring three points total. The game’s total is currently at 49.

Get your NFL odds at Bovada today.

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NBA Over/Unders, Likes/Leans for December 2nd

NBA Over/Unders, Likes/Leans for December 2nd

Full slate of NBA games for Tuesday night. Love it! On top of betting, Fanduel is having their $200K Tuesday NBA Slam tonight. I’m pumped. Time to win some $$$  :)  If you haven’t tried Fanduel yet, use promo code DRAFTBANK to get the maximum allowed bonus! Sign up here.

Here are some of the betting action that I recommend for December 2nd, 2014.

LIKES

  • Brooklyn -1 on the road at Knicks
  • Portland -3 on the road
  • Cleveland -10.5 at home

LEANS

  • Dallas +2 at Chicago
  • Boston +6.5 on road at Atlanta

OVERS

  • Cleveland/Milwaukee 202.5
  • Lakers/Pistons 204
  • Brooklyn/New York 189
  • Dallas/Chicago 203.5

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Tuesday’s Top 25 Betting for College Hoops

Tuesday’s Top 25 Betting for College Hoops

There are seven games on Tuesday, December 2nd that involved Top 25 teams. Before we get to the bets — have you tried daily fantasy college hoops yet? Fanduel has an awesome tournament tonight with great $$$ prizes. Check it out here and use promo code DRAFTBANK when signing up to get the maximum available bonus!

Here are some of my betting choices for tonight.

  • Syracuse @ Michigan– The match-up is interesting and finds both teams coming in with a 5-1 record. I like the Wolverines -5.5 in this game but wouldn’t stretch it any further than that.
  • Texas-Arlington @ Texas— Texas by -23 in this one.
  • Illinois @ Miami– It isn’t November anymore so it may be hard to support the Illini in this game on the road. I will bet the ‘Canes -5 in this one.
  • Ohio State @ Louisville– It is all about the line on this one as the Buckeyes are a decent team which garners my +8 in this contest.

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December 1st Monday Night Football Betting

December 1st Monday Night Football Betting

We had a profitable Sunday in the NFL and now we move our attention to this MNF match-up.

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets

Look for the Dolphins defense to handle the Jets quarterback Geno Smith. Miami has the 4th best defense against the pass and allow 211.7 yards per game. The Jets were blown out 38-3 last week when they faced the Bills. The New York Jets are 2-8-1 Against the Spread.

The Jets average 16 points per game and that translates into my bet for the Dolphins -6.5 in the game even though the weather may play havoc in this game.

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Betting NFL- Locks, Likes, Leans and Losers

Betting NFL- Locks, Likes, Leans and Losers

 

Here is a complete list of my bets for Sunday 11/30/14:

Locks

New York Giants -3 over Jacksonville

Cincinnati -3.5 over Tampa Bay

Arizona -1.5 over Atlanta

Likes

Houston -7.5 with Tennessee

Denver -1 at Kansas City

Minnesota -2.5 at home with Carolina

Indianapolis -10 taking on Washington

Leans

Cleveland as underdog +3.5 at Buffalo

Baltimore -6.5 at home with San Diego

St Louis -7 with Oakland

Losers

These are just too hard to bet.

Pittsburgh -5 with New Orleans

Green Bay at home -3 against New England

 

 

Top 25 College Football Betting 11/29/14

Top 25 College Football Betting 11/29/14

 

 

Minnesota @ Wisconsin

Minnesota is a Top 25 team in rushing with 228.9 yards per game with running back David Cobb acquiring 12 touchdowns and 1430 yards on the season. QB Mitch Leidner has amassed 10 touchdowns with 1445 yards passing on the season. Wisconsin averages 37.8 points per game and holds the opponents to 16.1 per game. Melvin Gordon leads the team with 2109 yards and 25 touchdowns and 8.3 yards per carry. I will bet Minnesota to make it closer than the spread (+15) in the contest.

 

Mississippi State @ Mississippi

The MSU Bulldogs are averaging 39 points per game and quarterback Dak Prescott has accumulated 23 touchdowns and 2714 yards in the air. Ole Miss leads the nation in defense with 13.5 per game with QB Bo Wallace having thrown for 22 touchdowns and 2789 yards in the air. Look for Mississippi State to cover the -2.5 in the game with their high flying offense.

 

Auburn @ Alabama

The Auburn Tigers have averaged 266.2 yards on the ground as Cameron Artis-Payne has 1405 yards , 11 touchdowns and a 5.6 yards per carry average. Nick Marshall, quarterback, has 1859 yards tossed and 735 yards rushed  for the season. The Crimson Tide is a stubborn team on defense by averaging 14.5 points per game and wide receiver Amari Cooper has 11 touchdowns along with 90 passes caught and 1349 yards accumulated. The line is a bit tougher in this game but I will go with the home Alabama Tide team -8.5 to cover the spread.

 

 

NBA Betting on Day After Thanksgiving

NBA Betting on Day After Thanksgiving

Hope you all had a great Thanksgiving Day. Now it is time to get back to making some money.

Here are three NBA games that got my attention.

  • Golden State -8.5 at Charlotte
  • New Orleans road underdog at +2.5
  • Memphis underdog at Portland +3.5

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