Why NOT to Bet on the Future NCAA Tournament Champion Before the Season

As we saw from the 2012 NCAA Tournament, it can be a bit unpredictable.  Some of the popular choices to make a run at the Championship game were eliminated early and often, and this included a pair of number two seeds in the Duke Blue Devils and the Missouri Tigers who went down to 15 seeds in the first round in Lehigh and Norfolk State.  Now, that’s not to say that Duke and Missouri were incredibly popular bets to win the tournament (Missouri got some love though), but you can see how quickly things can change for teams.  Injuries, suspensions, and simply just not showing up can all affect things, which is why you need to go through the NCAA regular season to see who the real contenders are.  Missouri seemed like a serious contender at the time, but they are one of those “just didn’t show up” teams.  Today we are going to take a look at these reasons as to why you should not bet on the NCAA Tournament winner before the season.

The Suspension/Injury Issue

Players being ruled ineligible is one huge headache, especially if they are on the team that you projected to win it all before the year.  Sure, that team may have been a serious contender when you placed that bet, and especially with that specific player who was ruled ineligible, but without that one player it is a completely different team all around.  You can’t predict a suspension, but that doesn’t mean you can’t wait it out to see if you can avoid being hit with it before betting on the NCAA Basketball Championship.

As far as injuries go, you don’t want to have just placed a bet before the year, only to see a player tear their ACL or suffer another serious injury that keeps them out the remainder of the season.  It’s a tough blow for the team and one that will affect the moving forward and make a team who was originally a serious contender, a team who will be fighting for a tournament appearance instead.

Teams Projected in the Middle of Big Conferences

You’ll find that quite often there is a team or two who will be projected to be in the middle of one of those big conferences like the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC), and the Big East who typically just comes out of nowhere.  It’s always tough to project which team this will be, but you typically find out when we get near the home stretch of the season.  Sometimes it may even take until the conference tournaments happen for this team to come out of nowhere, but when they do they typically take the NCAA Tournament by storm, and can cause some serious issues for sports bettors out there who get their action in too early in the season!

Obviously it can be tough to decide when to get that futures bet in on the NCAA Tournament, but just make sure that you have a good amount of info on each team before placing your bets!

2011 NFL Season: Taking a Look at Potential Upsets in Divisions

Every year for the NFL season before the year starts, there are odds posted for which team will win each division.  And every year, there are picks that seem to fall through the cracks, giving sports bettors a great opportunity to make a good payoff by picking an upset.  This year is definitely no different, as we see quite a few teams who are listed as 2nd and 3rd favorites to win the division; who very well could end up making a deep playoff push.  Now this situation won’t happen in every division, and it won’t be every time that the odds will pay out a great return on your investment, but there are some spots to look at.  Let’s get right into the divisions that we see as possibly having an upset winner.

NFC West

San Francisco 49ers: +160

St. Louis Rams: +180

Arizona Cardinals: +325

Seattle Seahawks: +600

This one isn’t going to give you an incredible pay out, but I don’t see the 49ers taking home this division.  All three of the other teams in the NFC West have gotten better and added players at positions where they needed help.  The 49ers seem content where they are at, and feel that they can win with what they have.  We’ll see if that’s true, but I like the odds on the Rams and Cardinals here.  In the end I think the Rams and the strong quarterback play of Sam Bradford win the division at +180.

AFC North

Indianapolis Colts: +105

Houston Texans: +180

Tennessee Titans: +600

Jacksonville Jaguars: +700

Peyton Manning is a stud NFL quarterback, there is no denying that.  But the problem is, he’s coming off a tough neck surgery, and the Colts have failed to add anyone big who can help this team out in positions that they need.  It seems like the Colts are getting a bit older, and the Texans are ready to make a move.  With Arian Foster, Andre Johnson, and Matt Schaub, this is the year that the Texans take it to the next level and win the division at +180.

NFC East

Philadelphia Eagles: Even

Dallas Cowboys: +250

New York Giants: +275

Washington Redskins: +1400

This one drew my interest pretty quickly, especially when I saw all of the moves that the Eagles were making in the offseason.  The Cowboys and Giants have been sitting back quietly and watching for a reason.  What that is, we don’t know exactly.  But what is one specific thing that no one is hearing about when it comes to the Cowboys and Giants?  The word “Super Bowl”.  It has to be a completely different feel for these teams to not have the large amount of preseason hype around them, especially the Dallas Cowboys.  The Cowboys are one of the most talented teams in the NFL, and they’ve picked up one thing that they lacked last year; a no-nonsense head coach in Jason Garrett.  They also added a tough nosed defensive coordinator in Rob Ryan.  It wouldn’t shock me to see the Dallas Cowboys jump past the Eagles here and win the NFC East at +250 while flying  under the radar.

The NFL season is just over 5 weeks away, so be sure to get your futures bets in now!  What’s your opinion on these division races listed above?  Let us know!